2019 AFL Round 4 - Sydney Swans v Melbourne Betting Tips 11-04-2019
April 10, 2019
Few punters would have foreseen Sydney and Melbourne’s poor start to the 2019 AFL season. The Swans barely scraped through for their first win on Saturday, while pre-season flag fancies the Dees are winless. These two teams will have a lot to play for when they meet at the SCG on Thursday night.
Sydney v Melbourne AFL Betting Preview
The Swans beat Carlton by 19 points on Saturday but did little to impress punters. Against the AFL’s worst attack, Sydney somehow conceded five goals in a cracking first-quarter that saw eight lead changes. The Swans drew the inside 50 count and lost the centre clearances 43-38. After three rounds, they rank 14th in the AFL for clearances, 13th for inside 50s, and 15th for goal accuracy.
John Longmire speaking to media and says that Will Hayward has had surgery on his jaw and will miss 4 weeks, Macca to miss 6-8 weeks with a quad injury. pic.twitter.com/dji5RMSEZY— Sydney Swans (@sydneyswans) 8 April 2019
Everyone expected Melbourne to bounce back in round three, but they somehow made a mess of it against Essendon. Incredibly, the Demons are equal first in the league for clearances, third for inside 50s, and third for contested possessions. But they are dead last for efficiency inside 50s and points against.
Monday work. ? pic.twitter.com/d8a8zcq2fu— Melbourne FC (@melbournefc) 8 April 2019
Sydney Swans v Melbourne Betting Tips
The Swans have won seven in a row against the Dees, with Melbourne’s last win coming in 2011. Sydney have a 3-4 record on Thursday nights since Thursdays became a regular part of the AFL fixture in 2013. Melbourne’s last Thursday night match was back in 2011 when Thursdays were in their experimental phase – and they lost. Despite the bad omens, Melbourne only need to fix up their forward line to win, and we think they’ll do it, paying out 2.10 at Palmerbet in the process.
All the talk during the week has been around the poor conditions of the SCG turf, which has had to bear the burden of all four footy codes while the Sydney Football Stadium is being rebuilt. Will the turf affect scoring on Thursday? Neds is paying 1.87 for at least one of these teams to score less than 70.